Pac-12 Picks – Week 6

With the USC-Utah game tonight, it’s time for our weekly Pac-12 picks! Last week Matthew and Andrew went 4-1 and Dan and Joe came in at 3-2. That brings the season total to:
Andrew 33-11
Matthew 33-11

Dan 33-11
Joe 32-12

As you can see, this is a close race. Matthew has pulled back from 2 games down in the last 2 weeks.

Here are this weeks picks:

USC @ Utah

The Good Guys: USC

Arizona @ Stanford

Andrew, Matthew, Joe: Stanford
Dan: Arizona

WSU @ Oregon State

The Good Guys: OSU

UCLA @ Cal

Andrew: UCLA
Matthew, Joe, Dan: Cal

As always, the UW-Oregon predictions will come tomorrow!

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Around The Pac-12 – Week 6

This week, on ‘Around the Pac-12’, we’re debuting something new.  It’s something exciting and extremely informative.  It’s a mascot ranking!  Every week I’ll think of categories or events and rank the mascots based on how well they’ll do.  If you’ve read these posts at all, you know that I enjoy sports team’s mascots.  Since we’re out of non-conference play I don’t have the opportunity to find new mascots.  Last week Matthew came up with this idea and I’m going to run with it.  It may turn into its own weekly post.  For now, the mascot rankings will fall after the jump* so that you get all of the informative stuff and have the opportunity to stop reading if ridiculous rankings aren’t your thing.

Of course, I will still be making jokes and dumb comments in the informative part of this post.

This Week:  Arizona (lost to Oregon State 38-35) at Stanford (lost to Washington 17-13)

Well, we know what happened with Stanford last week.  Their quarterback won’t be able to win games for them.  Fortunately for the Cardinal, he won’t have to.  What is also concerning is that Stanford couldn’t just push around the Huskies.  They do that against most of the Pac-12 and it will be interesting to see if they will be able to do this for the rest of season.  Arizona is starting to look like the team we thought they were in the pre-season.  Arizona can and will score quite a few points but it doesn’t seem as if the defense will be able to hold many teams down.  They’ve given up 87 points in the last 2 games.  Of course, this was against the two Oregon schools, two of the best teams in the conference.  This is an intriguing match-up and could really provide some clarity in the Pac-12 race.

This Week:  California (lost to Arizona State 27-17) vs. UCLA (beat Colorado 42-14)

The Golden Bears are now 1-4.  They have played tough against Ohio State and Arizona State but simply don’t seem to have the quarterback to win games.  They have the talent and I think they’ll start to win a few more in the weeks coming, but this isn’t the start to the season they’d imagined.  UCLA did what they were supposed to do last week and beat Colorado fairly easily.  They have moved to 4-1 and could wind up having a pretty interesting South division race with ASU and USC.  That’s something I didn’t think I’d say at the beginning of the season.  This week provides a battle of the bears and I really don’t know which bear is superior.  Probably the one that’s not a statue.

This Week:  Oregon State (beat Arizona 38-35) vs. WSU (lost to Oregon 51-26)

Oregon State continues to show that they are the most improved team in the conference, and maybe the country.  I don’t think they’ll continue to win every single game but winning 9 or 10 games is definitely a possibility now.  It’s tough to win in the desert and that’s exactly what the Beavers did.  They should improve to 4-0 this week.  Wazzu played Oregon pretty tough in the first half.  The Ducks played a pretty simple defense against them and didn’t blitz often in the first half, which showed the rest of the conference what not to do.  The Cougars are improving but I don’t know if it will be enough to win another game this season.  They’re up against a stiff opponent this week.

This Week:  USC at Utah 

Both of these teams had a bye last week.  This game is on Thursday night.  Utah has been fairly bad all year and are playing well-below pre-season expectations.  Even though USC has only one loss, they are playing below expectations as well.  They have the talent that makes me think it’s only a matter of time before they get rolling but it may never happen.  They should win this week though.

Byes:  Colorado (lost to UCLA 42-14), Arizona State (beat California 27-17)

Colorado got back to their normal way of life this week after their miracle in Pullman.  That might have something to do with UCLA being a much better team than WSU.  Barring something crazy, Colorado will finish the season 1-11 and Jon Embree will join Jeff Tedford in unemployment or having toasty buns from the hot seat he’s sitting on.  Arizona State is headed in the other direction, but I do question their level of opponent.  Their defense appears to be strong but I don’t know if the offense has enough playmakers.  Time will tell.  For now, they have to be feeling good sitting at 4-1.

That’s all the match-ups.  Now, on to the good stuff after the jump!

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It’s Oregon Week

I wrapped up my final thoughts on the Husky-Stanford game last night and now we move on to the next opponent.  The next opponent is the hated Oregon Ducks.  Technically, it’s been Oregon Week since Sunday.  Sure enough, that’s when I started wearing my Husky gear.  For me, it’s a tradition to wear Husky gear (or just purple) every day of the week in the week before the first game and the week before the Huskies play Oregon.  Maybe it’s not a good idea because my blood starts to boil the more and more I think about the Oregon Ducks.

There has been quite a bit written about the Huskies-Ducks rivalry.  The Dawgs hold the superior edge in overall record and record against in the rivalry but Oregon has beaten the Huskies 8 times in a row.  I’m not going to add much to my take on the rivalry aside from two paragraphs.  UW Dawgpound came out with a piece on Sunday that summed up my feelings about Oregon fans pretty well.  Here it is, so please read it.

For me, what I can’t stand about Oregon is their fans.  Sure, their players, uniforms and stupid mascot annoy the heck out of me but not to the point where I’d hate them.  I respect Chip Kelly, he’s an offensive genius and seems well liked among most coaches.  I enjoy watching their running backs play when they aren’t playing the Huskies because they are so talented.  They have a team speed that any fan would respect and envy.  But the hate comes when you bring their fans into the picture.

Many times I’ve felt no respect back from Oregon fans.  Of course, that doesn’t account for all of them.  I’ve met some  nice Duck fans who are willing to be kind and actually talk about football.  More often than not though, it seems like they don’t respect your team, your passion, or you as a person.  This is what UW Dawgpound was pointing out and I think that nailed it on the head.  Oregon fans complain about U-Dub fans arrogance while they have become arrogant themselves.

I don’t enjoy this rivalry.  I enjoy the WSU rivalry.  Sure, some of it has to do with Husky success but more of it has to do with the way the fans treat each other.  A few weekends out of the year some of my Cougar friends will text me and say, “Good luck against LSU” or “Good game the other night”.  I know they’ll be hailing insults down on these players in Pullman later but they respect what the team has done.  I try to be a good sport and do the same.  It’s a fun rivalry, that’s a little bit chippy. That’s the way it’s supposed to be.  Against Oregon, there isn’t much of that playfulness.  It’s just hate.  I don’t think the teams have much problem with each other anymore.  I think Sark and Chip are friends and kind to each other.  But, the fans can’t stand one another.

So, Happy Oregon Week.  Or, Not Happy Oregon Week.  I doubt it will happen, but I hope the Huskies clean their clocks, dance on the O and Husky fans party inside of Autzen until the wee hours of the morning avoiding the dog feces and bottles of urine that is sure to be thrown at them.  Beat the Ducks.

Andrew

Yeah….

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One Last Review Of UW-Stanford

I promised a more thorough review of last Thursdays game and here it is!  Five days, a trip to Yakima and about 8 hours of homework later.  I did finally finish watching the game last night and I had a few thoughts about the game.  I’ll go by position and add in some thoughts about coaching here and there.  Before I begin, I think this was probably the best coached Husky game since Rick Neuheisal was coach.  Seriously.  I’ll get into more detail as the post goes, but as a whole this was an incredibly coached game for the Dawgs, scheme-wise, personnel wise and on the motivational side.  Anyway, here we go, by position.

Quarterback – Keith Price has been a somewhat forgotten man through 4 games this year.  He doesn’t have the numbers that he had last year and won’t end up with as impressive stats but he has progressed.  Last Thursday, Keith played the toughest football game he’s ever played.  It wasn’t his best but it was very good.  He was tackled in the pocket over 10 times, while only three of those turned out to be sacks.  This is a testament to him standing in the pocket and not rushing things.  At one point it looked like he couldn’t feel his right arm.  I’m not sure why Stanford was never called for a roughing the passer penalty because they went high and hard many times.  Anyway, Price was accurate and threw well even with the amount of duress he was under.  He had 3 passes dropped that would have given him about 40 more passing yards and 3 more first downs.  He generally had less than 2 seconds to throw.  Three plays before the Huskies game-winning touchdown Price lined up under center and killed the running play that was called.  This audible essentially sent the receivers deep.  The ball was snapped, Price dropped back and was pressured from the outside so he stepped up into the pocket.  His outside receiver (I couldn’t catch the number) made a double move and was about to break free but a Stanford linebacker got a hand on the ball.  It was a brilliant call by Price and a beautiful play, it was just a .1 of a second too late.  The game winning touchdown could have come 3 plays earlier than when it did and it would have looked a lot more conventional.  Price was a great decision maker and game-manager.  I hope his body feels okay.

Running Back – It sure looks like Bishop Sankey has found his niche.  He’ll never be Chris Polk.  He’s not a bruiser and isn’t as patient.  But, he’s hitting the hole harder and faster every week.  Hugh Millen pointed out on KJR today that the Huskies use more of a zone-blocking scheme this year instead of a weak-side pulling guard, man-blocking scheme.  This allows Sankey to hit the hole faster than we saw the last few years because you don’t have to wait for that guard to come across.  So, maybe Bishop didn’t find his niche, maybe Sark found his niche for him?  It takes a humble and good coach to adjust his scheme to fit his players and Sark has continually done this.  That’s overlooked an awful lot.  Moving Kendyl Taylor provided an unexpected boost to the Husky offense and he did some good things on Thursday.  I’m guessing he’ll see more and more time as we go.  The fun thing to think about is that these running backs are only going to get better.  No one playing right  now is older than sophomore status.  Sure, they’ll cause a few headaches but the more I think about it, the more I think this year is setting up for a special 2013.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends – Quite a bit has been made of ASJ not getting only 2 receptions against Stanford.  There was no other tight end who caught a pass either.  What isn’t being said is that ASJ had a block on Chase Thomas that helped spring Bishop’s 61 yard run.  No one is talking about how Evan Hudson lined up at fullback a few times and got into the second level to give Sankey some other big runs.  The tight ends will be used in different ways as this season goes on but don’t think they played an insignificant role on Thursday.  Every receiver was fairly inconsistent aside from Kasen Williams.  Kasen turned 2 yard gains into 7 at least 3 times.  The plan was to get him the ball in space and he showed why that was a great game plan that Sark never went aways from even when it was getting frustrating.  Anytime another receiver wants to step up though, feel fee!

Offensive Line – Yes, the pass blocking was pretty horrendous.  It’s a big problem that needs to be solved right away.  But, they were playing a very good front seven.  To their credit, the line did run block well.  It doesn’t matter how you get yards and points as long as you get them.  No one expected the Huskies to be able to rush for 150 yards but they did and that was because the line opened few holes.  I do think they wore Stanford down a little bit.  Where the Oregon defense is used to being on the field a lot because their offense scores in a hurry, Stanford is exactly the opposite.  I imagine that the Cardinal generally win the time of possession battle and they didn’t on Thursday night.  The Huskies, especially in the first half generally were on the field for at least three minutes on offense every time they had the ball.  It doesn’t seem like much but that adds up, especially when your defense is getting three and outs.  I might be the only one, but I think the Stanford defense was tired and they looked it on the Huskies last drive.  Shane Brostek got his first career start at right guard and looked pretty good in run blocking.  Him and James Atoe next to each other is probably my favorite configuration of the line.  When they’re on the right side, holes seem to open up a bit more.  The Huskies most successful running plays were runs off-tackle or which would follow Atoe, Hatchie, and, on the final drive, Criste.  The right side of the line seemed to open more holes, as I mentioned earlier, but the left side of the line did pretty well too when I re-watched the game.

Defensive Line – Stopping the run starts up front, so here you go.  I don’t know much about defensive lines so I won’t try to explain anything and there wasn’t a ton that stood out.  Pio Vatuvei got extensive action.  Josh Banks saw his first action of the season and made a very good tackle on Stanford’s last drive.  Not a lot shows up in the box score from these guys but they freed up space for the linemen to make plays.  It took Josh Shirley about a half to get his pass rush going but he was definitely felt in the second half.  This group continues to get better.

Linebackers – The Dawgs haven’t had linebackers tackle like they did in this game since who knows how long.  If you think back to the game, think about how many times Stepfan Taylor broke free from a tackle for extra yards.  It didn’t happen.  Even re-watching the game, I can’t think of a time.  Tutogi, Timu, Fuimaono (although he didn’t play as much), Feeney, and Shaq were all in position and made the tackles.  I’m still amazed.  Their pursuit was incredible, their tackling was the best I’ve seen from a Husky defense, and their effort was off the charts.  I don’t expect them to be able to keep this up but if they do then what was thought to be one of the Huskies biggest weaknesses has all of a sudden become one of the best positions on the team.  As one of my favorite wrinkles that Wilcox threw in, Talia Crichton played a hybrid linebacker.  He rushed the passer some but he was used to stop the run a good amount.  It was just another big body who wouldn’t be pushed around.

Secondary – Desmond Trufant was the only corner on the field about 30% of the time for the Huskies.  What a responsibility that was and he handled it extremely well.  Right now he’s an all-conference player and is deserving of All-American recognition.  Two pass breakups, one interception and shutting down one side of the field.  The other corner spot is a bit concerning still but they did okay this game.  Marcus Peters saw quite a bit of time on the field.  Especially in the second half.  Sean Parker played a great game, blowing up screens and flying around.  The defense looks fast and he is one of the players that looks the fastest.  Travis Feeney lined up as free safety sometimes to stop the run which was another wrinkle.  Justin Glenn also played a good game with a couple of pass-breakups.  There were a few blown assignments but that’s to be expected especially when there was such an emphasis on stopping the run.

Special Teams – Travis Coons was the first half MVP.  He made a career long field goal, had a pretty good yards per punt average and punted one left-footed which saved the Huskies field position.  That was a great play that I’m not even going to try to explain.  Marvin Hall is fast and will break a return soon.  He’s been very close in the last two games.  He’s a game changer and I’m glad Sark pulled the red-shirt off of him.  Not literally.  They don’t actually wear red-shirts.

After watching the game again, this game was something that all Husky fans should feel proud of.  But, it’s time to turn our attention to our bitter rival down south.  It’s been fun to bask in this game.  I doubt we’ll have this feeling next week but it seems like these Dawgs like to surprise.

Andrew

 

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Pac-12 Picks – Week 5

I’m doing this from my phone because, frankly, I forgot until now. So there won’t be any witty comments about mascots or about what the final score of the WSU-Oregon score will be.  I’ll update the standings next week but for now it’s just the picks! Just the picks.

Arizona vs. Oregon State

Matthew, Andrew: Oregon State
Joe, Danny: Arizona

Arizona State at California

The Good Guys: ASU

Colorado vs. UCLA

The Good Guys: UCLA

Oregon vs. WSU

The Good Guys: Oregon :-/

Have a great weekend!

Andrew

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The Huskies Earn A Signature Victory

Growing up, I always heard and saw highlights of what a ‘Husky defense’ was supposed to look like.  The legend of the defense was talked about with every coach who was hired, and later fired, for the past decade.  Every coach wanted to restore what ‘Husky defense’ was supposed to be.  Sometimes there were glimpses.  The crowd would stand up, yell louder than they would for any touchdown, and the defensive ends would fire off the ball for a sack on 3rd down.  We saw glimpses but hardly ever complete games.

That Was Awesome!

In 2010 the Husky defense dominated a one-dimensional Nebraska team in the Holiday Bowl.  In that same year, the Husky defense kept the team in the game against Oregon State by shutting them down in the second half.  In 2009, the defense played pretty well against USC, Cal, and Wazzu.  We can go back farther.  The 2001 Rose Bowl team had a good defense who was opportunistic and often rose to the occasion.  But, as the college football game evolved, the offense has been ahead of the defense for most of the last 15 years.

Tonight the Huskies played their best defensive game since…. I don’t know.  Maybe the Holiday Bowl was more impressive to you?  Not to me.  This effort was complete against the most physical team in the Pac-12.  Stanford shoved their way to 65 yards and 6 points.  Stanford didn’t score a touchdown for the first time since 2007.  The Dawgs just didn’t let any plays break them.  Stanford didn’t have a rush for over 7 yards.  Last year, they had 10 over 15 yards.

I could throw out stats all night that show you how well the defense played but I think you get the point.  This defense tackled better, pursued better, and played with  more effort than I’ve ever seen.  Tonight was maybe my best glimpse of what a ‘Husky defense’ is supposed to look like.  Do I expect them to go into Oregon next week and shut down the Ducks.  Not at all.  Hardly anyone does that and it will be a different type of game.  This was a giant step in the right direction though.

Later on, I (or another one of the Good Guys) will break down this game more thoroughly.  Tonight is for soaking in victory though.  We don’t need to think about how the offensive line can’t pass block or about the emergence of a 3rd receiver.  We can focus on a defense that was nothing short of phenomenal.  We can focus on a surprising running game.  We can focus on the play-maker Kasen Williams is turning in to.  We can focus on a quarterback who repeatedly gets taken to the ground while throwing balls on target and then gets up and smiles, no matter the outcome.  Tonight we saw a team who deserved to be a top-10 team.  And what do you know?  They did.

Go Dawgs!

Andrew

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UW vs. Stanford Predictions

Andrew wrote a nice little preview about the game earlier, so I won’t go too far into it here. This game is a chance to show progress, or show that not that much has changed. No one is really expecting a win, but given the matchup and injury issues, even a close game would be a welcome sight.

Regardless of how the game goes, it’s the Blackout of the Century, so we’ve got that going for us. Those don’t happen very often. Maybe they’ll play without power.

Matthew

I want to predict a Husky win here, but they’ve given no good reason to do so. I do think they’re better than last year, and Stanford is worse, but I don’t think the gap has narrowed enough for a Husky victory. The best hope is for some big plays and turnovers. Maybe Josh Nunes will get rattled and an already weak Stanford passing attack will become non-existent. Of course, the Dawgs would still have to stop the run. They have a shot here. It would be a tough win, but it’s possible. I’m just non expecting it.

Stanford 35 – UW 24

Joe

I have been so completely engulfed in the “Golden-gate” fiasco, I haven’t paid much attention to the fact UW essentially has no offensive line and will be running with freshman running backs against the number one rushing defense in the country. So safe to say the Dawgs won’t get a running game going. Other than that negative, I actually feel good about the game. Granted Stanford is a bad match up for UW, but Stanford hasn’t blown anyone of note out this year. A seven point win over USC is nice, but how good is USC really, at this point we don’t know. So my point is this is Stanford’s first road test, so we don’t know what they’ll do. I think a blow out is very possible, but I don’t anticipate one. The Huskies will play well, I am certain of this. Stanford will too. They are coached well, always prepared. Therefore, if both teams play well, it will be close, and the home crowd will make it closer, but the visitors will win. Stanford will be too much.

Cardinal 24 – Huskies 16

Dan

Just before kickoff here at the clink, loving the energy but I can’t see home field making up for the difference between the big boys in the trenches.

Cardinal 27 – Huskies 20

Andrew

I’ve tried to talk myself into this game all week. I tell myself that the Stanford offense isn’t anything like last year and the Husky defense is vastly improved. I tell myself that their offensive line isn’t quite as strong as last year. I tell myself that their defensive line probably isn’t as good as LSU’s, so the offensive line is at least a little bit battle tested. I tell myself that we have Keith Price and he’s ready for a signature game. But what prevails in my head is the disappointment of our ranked team going down to Palo Alto and getting beat 65-21 last year. I remember 41-0 the year before. Stanford has beaten the Dawgs like nobody else the last 2 years and I don’t think this team will overcome all of that tomorrow. The score will be better than last year but I anticipate this game being over at the start of the 4th quarter. I hope I’m wrong.
Stanford -35 UW – 17
Go Dawgs!

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Will The Dawgs Bark Back?

While most of this city may still be focused on one of the crazier football games I’ve ever seen, the Good Guys think it’s time to turn the page and look at the most important game of the season for the Washington Huskies.  Tomorrow the Dawgs play Stanford on national television at 6 P.M.  For some reason, it is being billed as ‘The Blackout of the Century’.  I guess you might as well shoot for the top.

The season for the Huskies has gone as scheduled.  They won against a decent team, lost to a great team, and killed a terrible team.  They’re 2-1, and the that’s the record that everyone predicted after 2 games.  With that being said, there seems to be a great deal of pessimism coming from the fans.  I’m guessing that it comes from the blow-out loss to LSU and the injuries.  I don’t think there is an excuse for the LSU game and it’s time to put that game to bed but let’s talk about the injuries for a minute.

The Huskies have suffered injuries to 3 starting offensive linemen.  Three linebackers have missed games.  Two running backs are out for the season.  Their second and third wide receivers are either out indefinitely or have been banged up.  Their starting safety played with stitches in his eye last game.  There have been 9 starters who have already missed a game this season.  This program is 3 and a half years removed from going 0-12.  That is not enough time to bring in quality depth to fill for all of these injuries.  Yes, it’s enough time to bring in good players who will top your depth chart and make you a solid team.  But, it’s not enough time for a team to bring in depth to cover all of these injuries.

With that being said, the Huskies are still strong enough to compete.  If they don’t, I think we, as fans, should be disappointed.  There are enough good to great players on this roster to keep the Huskies in games against top-25 schools.  No, I’m not as optimistic about the Huskies after these injuries than I was at the beginning of the year but I think they are still capable of handling this situation.  They won’t handle it like a top-10 team, but they’ll handle it like a good team.

I guess my point and question is, should we change our expectations for this Husky season based on the injuries?  I think if I had to do my pre-season prediction again I would guess for 7 wins.  They already have 2, plus Colorado and WSU are on the schedule.  Utah doesn’t seem to be as tough as we thought they’d be.  They play Oregon State at home and California is not in a good current state.  That’s 7 teams right there.  Add in Arizona to that mix and 7 seems like a good expectation to have.  Against the good teams I don’t think we should change our expectations.  The Huskies need to compete.  LSU was a disaster and that shouldn’t happen anymore.

Tomorrow the Huskies play Stanford with an injury-laden team.  I don’t expect them to win, in fact I’m leaning towards the thought that they’ll get dominated.  I’m sick of thinking that about my team.  We have for 10 years and it needs to end, no matter the excuse.  Maybe it ends tomorrow against a physical, strong Cardinal team.  Probably not, but maybe.

(Some bullet holes after the jump)

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