Your 2011 Mariners- Outfield

With the World Series over, free agency is right around the corner.  It’s coming even earlier than usual this year, so I’ll try to get through these overviews of the team before much happens.  Up next:

Outfield

On the Roster

Ichiro– Ichiro had a slightly down year for him in 2010, but he was still the best offensive player on the team.  He’s one of the only players on the roster worth coming to the park to see, and there’s no reason to think he won’t be just as good and probably better next year.  Sure, he’s paid a lot, but nothing’s changing that now, so sit back and enjoy him.

Franklin Gutierrez– After a fast start, Guti joined the rest of the team in having an extremely disappointing year.  2009 Franklin is a guy to build a team around; 2010 Franklin is a borderline starter.  Now probably isn’t the time to trade him, but I’d be open to the possibility if the team has confidence in Michael Saunders and thinks he can play center.  In reality, I think he’ll be starting again in center in 2011, barring some mega-deal where he’s one of several pieces going out.  He still has a lot of potential, and the defense didn’t really dip, but the jury’s now out on Gutierrez. Continue reading

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Hot Links

Read a few things that caught my eye today. 

  • With Jake Locker out, take a look at the possible future with UW QB commit Joseph Gray.  Not a ton of info here, but his team is 8-0 and he’s put up some massive numbers this year.  He was lightly recruited until he committed, but word is that lots of teams were/are starting to take an interest.  Maybe the biggest knock on Gray is lack of size, as he stands only about 6′.
  • I’ve always felt bad for Kevin Riley, who has been a good QB sometimes, and a horrendous one occasionally.  His season and career are now over after an injury last week at OSU, and Ted Miller has a really nice little article.  Best of luck to Riley in the future.  I wish he could have gone out better, like getting beat by the Huskies!
  • If you’re a Mariner fan and don’t already, you should just read Lookout Landing every day.  If you don’t yet, start with this.  It’s kind of hopeful.  I wouldn’t have any problem with the Mariners getting rid of Lincoln and Armstrong, but I fully disagree with anyone who says the Mariners can’t win as long as they’re here.  They might make it harder, but what wins games is talent on the field, not ownership.  If you haven’t noticed, the Mariners need better players.  Speaking of which…
  • Prospect Insider has a post about potential shortstop solutions.  I looked at the shortstops on the Mariners roster recently and proclaimed the situation pretty bleak.  Jason Churchill doesn’t make many predictions, but he brings up a few names I hadn’t thought about.  Jose Reyes, anyone?  Not likely, but what is the offseason for if not a chance to dream?

-Matthew

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Our Expectations

This wasn’t the way this Husky football season was supposed to go.  But, that phrase has become normal in Seattle over the past couple years.  We had the Seahawks in 2009, while the Mariners and Huskies put up surprising, yet still mediocre, seasons.  This year we said that about the Husky basketball team, before they took off on a run.  The phrase never ringed more true for this years Mariner season and now we have a Husky football team that is spinning out of control.

With so many disappointments, we have to ask the question, ‘Did we set our expectations too high?’  You can’t clump all these teams together so let’s take a look at each team.

  • The 2009 Seahawks:  I’m not going to pretend to know a ton about the Seahawks, I don’t, but I think it’s fair to say that expectations for this team were reasonable.  Most fans would have accepted a 7-9 or 8-8 record, that seemed reasonable given the personnel on the team.  You could argue there were liabilities all along the offense and the team was plagued by injuries.  If you take those into account, we could add another loss to the record.  So let’s say 6-10 was a bare minimum for this team.  I’m not taking into account the weak division they play in.  The team finished 5-11.  Not only did they finish below expectations, they weren’t very competitive in many of their games.  I think Seattle had their expectations right for this team but the Seahawks failed to meet them.
  • 2009-2010 Husky Basketball: The Huskies were coming off their first league championship in decades and expectations were very high.  There was talk about repeating as league champions and making a run to the final four.  Then, the season started slowly.  The team didn’t gel and was extremely inconsistent.  The Huskies couldn’t win on the road but looked as if they could beat anyone at home.  At times it looked as if they let the expectations get to their heads.  Of course, the Huskies turned it around and made one of the most thrilling runs in their history, all the way to the sweet 16 after looking like they wouldn’t make the tournament.  The expectations for the final four might have been a little high for this team, but they did show they had the talent to do that, from time to time.  Thankfully, a team is judged by how they finish so this team met expectations in my mind because of their late run.
  • The 2010 Mariners: In case you’ve forgotten (or just tried to erase this from your mind) their was actually some buzz about the Mariners this year.  They were everyone’s sleeper pick to make the World Series.  An overachieving 2009 team combined with some sneaky acquisitions and one huge trade (Cliff Lee) by Jack Z had fans thinking playoffs for the first time in almost a decade.  Then, the season started.  The Mariners were terrible, so terrible that there’s no point in retelling how bad they actually were.  But, were the expectations justified?  Partially.  It was unreasonable to think that the offense would be good.  On the other hand, it was unreasonable to think that the offense would be that bad.  So, dreams of a World Series were probably unrealistic but dreams of the playoffs or a team in contention?  That wasn’t that far out of the question.  Needless to say, the Mariners failed completely.  The fans weren’t wrong in this instance.

Now, we’re on the brink of losing another season.  Jake Locker will be out against Oregon, and potentially more, and the Dawgs will need to win 3 of their last 4 to make it to a bowl game.  Going into the season, a bowl game was the minimum expectation and 8-4 seemed like a popular record that most people were picking.  Was expecting 8-4 too much?  Probably.  There were too many holes in the lineup that faced a tough schedule.  But, 7-5 or 6-6 was and is completely reasonable.  A senior quarterback with all kinds of talent, an offense filled with weapons, and a defense that seemed to improve at the end of the year gave us reasons to think this season would be better than it is.  I don’t think we were that wrong in our expectations.

We definitely weren’t wrong in expecting a competitive team, and we haven’t seen that the last couple weeks.  That’s the disappointing part.  I still believe in this coaching staff, but this team is getting worse.  It felt like during the Ty years that the team didn’t bother practicing during the week, it’s seemed like that’s the same case the last 2 weeks.  We, as fans, deserve more than we were given against Stanford.  Our players and coaches were not even close to the standard we should expect.  That’s whats frustrating.  I’ve put up with losses, and they’re bad in their own right, but Saturday’s loss was different.  It was embarrassing for players, fans, and coaches.  Of course, the Huskies could turn their season around just like the basketball team did.  They could win their last 3 games and salvage their season.  But, things are looking grim right now.

In short, we need to have expectations.  We need to expect more than what the Mariners gave us this year and what the Huskies and Seahawks gave us this weekend.  If we don’t, there’s no pressure to get better.  Hopefully, those teams have higher expectations of themselves.  If not, this is going to be another long couple years in sports.

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Locker Out for Saturday’s Game

Official word is out that Jake Locker will miss Saturday’s game against the University of Oregon.  Apparently the rib injury that has been bothering had progressed from a strain to a hairline fracture before last weekend, and now is a full-on cracked rib after the Stanford game. 

I don’t want to second-guess the doctors or anything, but this could be a case of the coaches picking their battles.  There’s no reason to doubt the diagnosis, and even the initial injury would keep most of the population off the field, but I’m betting Jake would say there’s not much difference in his pain level between now and what it was before the Stanford game.  It’s not a stretch to say the coaches are admitting that Jake Locker wouldn’t have much effect this upcoming Saturday. 

That might sound like an indictment of the coaches, but I don’t mean it that way at all.  There are plenty of other reasons to be on them, but I don’t think this is one of them (and I might be the only one with this interpretation of Locker sitting anyway).  The truth is that UW has little real chance of beating Oregon this Saturday.  Crazy things happen, but I can’t imagine a worse matchup for this struggling Husky team.  UW’s bowl chances will come down to winning their last three games, and I’d rather have Locker healthy for them (hopefully) than have him sacrifice more ribs to Brandon Bair and a hyped up Duck defense.

Keith Price will make his first start in Locker’s place.  Price has looked decent, but he’s only played in mop-up duty, aside from the touchdown pass he threw to Chris Izbicki when Locker was out of the game for a play early in the year.  If nothing else, this should be some good experience for Price for next year.  I can’t think of a worse situation in which to make your first start than Autzen Stadium against a #1 ranked Ducks team.  I’d expect a whole lot of Chris Polk and Jesse Callier, but I never expected Price to Izbicki, so who knows.

One thing’s sure: if Price pulls off the miracle upset, well, I don’t even know how to put into words how amazing that would be.  I’m literally sitting here trying to come up with a way to describe it.  Thinking about it will probably be the best feeling associated with this game, so feel free to hold off reality as long as you can.

-Matthew

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116-3

Atta boy Olindo!!!

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Husky Predictions – Stanford

GOOOOOOOO                                                                                                                                                                                 HUSKIES!!!
GOOOOOOOO                                                                                                                                                                                 HUSKIES!!!

Here’s the Good Guys’ picks for the week.

Matthew (4-3 on the year):

For the Huskies to pull off the upset tomorrow, here’s what I think needs to happen:
-They need to somehow get pressure on Andrew Luck.
-They have to at least occasionally stop the Stanford running game.
-They need to control the clock and score touchdowns, not field goals.
-They need to keep Stanford within 10 points at all times.
-They need at least 4 game changing plays (turnover, 50-yard pass, big sack on third down, etc).
I think the Huskies will score often, but not enough to match Stanford point for point. I see this either getting out of hand quickly, or a tight game all the way through. I’ll go with the tight game, with Stanford having a little more in the fourth quarter.
Stanford 38 UW 28

Dan (4-3 on the year):

The Huskies will have their hands full tomorrow, especially on defense. Between the running game led by a terrific o-line and Step Taylor, and the passing game led by Luck, Owusu, and Walen, Stanford is a duel-threat at all times. I see a heavy dose of run from the Cardinal because their o-line vs. our d-line is probably the biggest mismatch on the field. Stanford’s running game is better than last year, even without Gerhart. However, if the Huskies can get off to a quick start like against Oregon State, then maybe the crowd can aid the defense and things could get interesting. I am personally 6-1 in my last 7 trips to Husky Stadium, and I will be there tomorrow, so maybe I’m the X factor. Although I doubt it. I see Stanford winning this one, and the Dawgs miss out on one of those 3 wins needed to make a bowl.
Stanford-42, UW-24

Joe (4-3 on the year):

Last week, I got burned.  I really thought the Huskies had turned a corner and were ready to win two in a row on the road for the first time in ages.  I was terribly wrong.  Arizona dominated in all three aspects of the game.  They let off the gas in the 3rd quarter, but the Dawgs had no response.  One of the worst performances I have ever seen from the Huskies.  Yes, ever.  There have been some bad teams around here the past decade, but I expected them to suck.  I expect better from this team, so that is why it was such a disappointment Saturday night.  So, for all these reasons, I am picking them to beat Stanford.  When trying to predict the Huskies, throw logic and common sense out the window.  I think they’ll come out inspired and aggressive.  Stanford’s defense is simply not that good.  They gave up 28 points to the Cougars, enough said.  The Huskies defense is worse, so this game will be high scoring.  I have almost my entire Pac-10 fantasy team playing in this game, so I am ordering up a shootout.

UW 45 – Stanford 42 (in OT)

Andrew (5-2 on the year):

There’s not a lot of reason to think the Huskies will win this game.  Stanford should dominate in the trenches, with UW having quite a few injuries on the defensive line.  They have receivers who are much better than the Huskies corners have looked.  They have a running back who is really playing well in the last few weeks.  Oh, and their quarterback is pretty good too, if you hadn’t heard of him.  Sure, their secondary is questionable but they have coaches smart enough to negate that weakness.  With that being said, I’m going to pick the Huskies.  Why?  I don’t know, mainly because this is the most inconsistent team in the Pac-10 (yes, even more than Cal).  I think the Huskies will try to stretch a Cardinal defense that is tough in the trenches but doesn’t have a ton of speed.  I can see lots of fly sweeps being called and quick wide receiver screens.  As for the defense, well, I don’t know how they’re going to do but maybe they’ll show up like they did against Oregon State.  Will this team bounce back yet again?  I think so.  It’s a cold, Seattle day, Dan is going to the game (he’s usually good luck), and I believe (if you look for me, I’ll be flapping my arms in the east end zone throughout the game, just like Angels in the Outfield).
UW 35 – Stanford 27

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A Sign from the Football Gods?

Some might call it a typo.  Others might call it something more.

Today’s injury report from Ted Miller’s ESPN blog:

Washington
QB Jake Locker, thigh, ribs, probable
DT Cameron Elisara, neck, out
TE Chris Izbikci, foot, questionable
S Will Shamburger, concussion, questionable
LB Victory Aiyewa, knee, probable
DE Talia Crichton, knee, out
WR Devin Aguilar, hip, probable
RB Johri Fogerson, hip, out
OG Erik Kohler, illness, probable

Our starting strongside linebacker is calling his shot.  We believe, Mr. Aiyewa.

-Matthew

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Pac-10 Picks: Week 9

Last Week: Andrew (3-1), Dan (4-0), Joe (2-2), Matthew (4-0)
Overall: Andrew (41-9), Dan (42-8), Joe (40-10), Matthew (42-8)

Week 9:

    Arizona-UCLA

Arizona—The Good Guys

    California-Oregon St.

Oregon St.—The Good Guys

    Washington St.-Arizona St.

Arizona St.—The Good Guys

    Oregon-USC

Oregon—Matthew, Dan; USC—Andrew, Joe

    UW-Stanford Predictions Later!

-Dan

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