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The Good Guys Pac-12 Picks

Before I begin, I’ve seen rumors swirling that James Johnson will red-shirt this year because he doesn’t want to miss half of his senior season.  This has not been confirmed and is speculation so far but I think it’s pretty good speculation. Take it as you will.  Now, on to the post!

It’s the first week of Pac-12 picks and today is the first game.  Nothing can really describe my excitement.  I understand that some of you are bigger fans of the NFL and don’t share my level of excitement for the college game.  That’s fine.  But, for me, the college game is so precious.  It’s here for 12 or 13 times a year and then it is gone.  Those 12 or 13 games a year have supplied some of the best days of my life and always bring a fresh air of excitement to my sports world.

This week on our Pac-12 picks, we picked most of the same teams.  There are only 2 Pac-12 teams that play road games this week.  There’s only one Pac-12 team that is an underdog.  Most schools play teams that we won’t hear about again this season.  That’s okay.  For this week, we’ll give the Pac-12 a break on the schedule and just be thankful that it’s back.

Arizona vs. Toledo – Saturday 7:30 P.M.

The Good Guys:  Arizona

Arizona State vs. Northern Arizona – Thursday 7:30 P.M.

The Good Guys:  Arizona State

California vs. Nevada – Saturday 12 P.M.

The Good Guys:  California

Colorado vs. Colorado State – Saturday 1 P.M.

Andrew, Matthew, Dan:  Colorado

Joe:  Colorado State

Oregon vs. Arkansas State – Saturday 7:30 P.M.

The Good Guys:  Oregon 😦

Oregon State vs. Nicholls State – Postponed

Stanford vs. San Jose St. – Friday 7 P.M.

The Good Guys:  Stanford

UCLA at Rice – Saturday 4:30 P.M.

The Good Guys:  UCLA

USC vs. Hawaii – Saturday 4 P.M.

The Good Guys:  USC

Utah vs. Northern Colorado – Thursday 4:15 P.M.

The Good Guys:  Utah

WSU at BYU – Thursday 7:30 P.M.

Matthew, Andrew, Dan:  BYU

Joe:  WSU

There’s the picks.  I’ll keep track of the records for each of the Good Guys and will post it weekly.  Also, if you’re interested in joining this pick ’em, write all of your picks in the comments and I’ll include you in the standings!  Just have the picks in by 4 P.M. today.  I’ll give you some leeway, as well.

Happy football!

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A Down and Dirty Pac-12 Preview

The season kicks off tomorrow night for a third of the conference, so here’s a quick preview.

I’m just going to tell you two things: which player I would pick if I could have someone off each team for the Huskies, and how much they concern me.  I’ll rate them 1-10, 1 being a cakewalk win (actually kind of hard to do, cakewalks are tricky), 10 being an almost certain loss.  I’ll also go in the order I think they’ll finish.  So I guess I’m telling you three things.  It’s your lucky day.  My thoughts here aren’t worth much though, so you’re not that lucky.

South Division

1. USC

Player I want: Pretty much anyone off their roster would work.  Especially intriguing are their two 1,000 yard rushers, Curtis McNeal and Silas Redd, or how about All-American DBs Nickell Robey and T.J. McDonald.  Or LB Dion Bailey or one of their elite O-linemen.  That’s not even mentioning Heisman favorite QB Matt Barkley.  #1 USC is not hurting for talent.

For the Huskies though, it would come down to either of their uber-talented WRs, Marquise Lee or Robert Woods.  The Huskies could use a little depth here, and these might be the two best receivers in the conference and country.  Lee is incredible, but Woods is absolutely electric and a bit more versatile.  The only concern is an injury that hampered him in the offseason, but he seems fully recovered.  I’d take Woods and his potential 2,000 all-purpose yards in a heartbeat, as would every program in the nation.

Scare-meter: 9.  USC thumped UW last year, and they should be even better this year.  It’s not an impossible task, but there’s a reason they’re the preseason #1 in the country. Continue reading

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Around the Pac-12: Week 1

Around the Pac-12 will be a weekly post that reviews and previews each Pac-12 game.  Of course, since this is the first week it will only be previews.  I’m not sure if the Good Guys will be posting their Pac-12 picks every week (hopefully yes), so this post won’t be implying any prediction.  Unless it’s the Ducks because I’ll always imply that I hope the Ducks lose.  I’ll go in alphabetical order, I will show no prejudice except against the teams that are lower in the alphabet.  Also, I’ll be skipping the Huskies because we’ll have plenty of preview on them.

Arizona – Coming Up:  Saturday against Toledo 7:30 PM

This is one of what seems like many cakewalks for Pac-12 teams this week.  Not literal cakewalks.  If two teams faced off in an actual cakewalk, I think it would be hard to pick a favorite for that game.  Anyway, Arizona won the last match-up 41-2.  This is Rich Rodriguez’s first game as head coach of the Wildcats and you may get a feel for what Ka’Deem Carey, Matt Scott and the rest of the Arizona offense may do.  I think they may be a little better than people expect.  The defense could be a different story.

Arizona State – Coming Up:  Thursday against Northern Arizona 7:30 P.M.

Todd Graham makes his Pac-12 coaching debut.  Taylor Kelly makes his quarterback debut.  A number of other players that I don’t really care about make their debut.  Todd Graham, coach of the Sun Devils, made a controversial decision in starting Kelly that I haven’t really heard anyone agree with thus far.  Kelly shouldn’t struggle much against Northern Arizona but it may be something to keep an eye on if you have the game on.

California – Coming Up:  Saturday against Nevada 12:00 P.M.

California starts their season against a team that isn’t a cupcake but is very winnable.  Nevada isn’t the same team that knocked Boise State out of the national championship picture a few years ago but they’re okay.  California, specifically Jeff Tedford, is entering a critical season.  If the Bears have a sub-par season Tedford’s seat will only become hotter.

Colorado – Coming Up:  Saturday against Colorado State 1 P.M.

Colorado struggled last season and doesn’t promise to be much better this year.  They do start the season against a pretty soft slate and this is a good chance to start off the year right.  This is yet another team that’s breaking in a new quarterback in Jordan Webb.  He has transferred from Kansas and was named the starter about a week ago.

Oregon – Coming Up:  Saturday against Arkansas State 7:30 P.M.

Have you looked at Oregon’s non-conference schedule?  What a joke.  Have you looked at Oregon’s uniforms?  What a joke.  Have you looked at Oregon’s fans?  What a joke.  They debut a quarterback, Marcus Marioti, and will probably score a lot of points.

Oregon State – Coming Up:  Saturday against Nicholls State 12 P.M.

Beaver fans are hoping this opener goes better than last years loss to an FCS team.  When I type in Nicholls State, the laptop thinks I’m misspelling Nicholls.  That shows you how strong the quality of opponent this is.  I don’t know anything about Nicholls State and probably never will.  Their mascot is the Colonels.  But, when I typed in ‘Nicholls State mascot’ on Google ‘Nicholls State mascot nazi’ was the fourth thing that came up.  Weird.  Now you know.  Expect the Beavers to Storm on the Colonels parade (their running back’s name is Storm Woods and I will be making puns about this all year)!

Stanford – Coming Up:  Friday against San Jose State 7 P.M.

Nicholls State Mascot….

 

The mighty Spartans of San Jose State face off against the Cardinal.  Hmm, lets see a Spartan facing off against a Tree in this mascot battle.  Yeah, this won’t be tough for San Jose State.  Then again, Stepfan Taylor is really good so maybe this won’t come down to which mascot is tougher.  Oh yeah, Josh Nunes makes his Pac-12 debut as the quarterback of Stanford.  They try to live on after Andrew Luck.  I forgot for a few minutes that I was trying to make this post informative.

UCLA – Coming Up:  Thursday at Rice 4:30 P.M.

I’ve never written the phrase ‘at Rice’ before, unfortunately.  This is the game where I remind everyone that the first game of the season is always a little weird, always a little bit unpredictable.  UCLA is traveling quite a ways with a new coach, a new quarterback and, probably, a little over-confidence.  They should beat the Owls, but do you know when Owls come out?  At night.  Do you know when this game is?  At night.  Coincidence?  We’ll see.

USC – Coming Up:  Saturday against Hawaii 4:30 P.M.

The Rainbow Warriors are an okay team.  They might play in a bowl game, despite once being nicknamed the Rainbow Warriors.  That’s overcoming adversity right there.  But, they will probably be destroyed in this game.  USC could score 100 points and I wouldn’t be surprised.  But, they don’t live in Hawaii so who’s the real winner here?

Utah – Coming Up:  Thursday against Northern Colorado 4:15 P.M.

Utah could be very good.  I’m not a real believer yet but they do have a veteran quarterback (who I am not high on but other people are), a star running back, and maybe the best defense in the league.  That’s a pretty good recipe for winning.  Northern Colorado could be very bad.  But, that’s compared to good college programs.  Compared to middle school teams, Northern Colorado would be like gods.  But then the middle school punter would be like, “Coach, why are we playing a college football team?”  Then, the game would be canceled.

Washington State – Coming Up:  Thursday at BYU 7:30 P.M.

Well, I’ve mostly been stalling until I got a chance to talk about this game.  This is the most intriguing game of the week for me.  BYU isn’t amazing but they’re a very solid team.  The type of team that would have killed the Cougars the last 4 years.  Now, things should be different.  Mike Leach should make a huge impact, Jeff Tuel should throw for bunches of yards, and the Cougs should at least keep the game close.  If they don’t, then maybe all of positive vibes coming out of Pullman won’t be around much longer.  Even if the game isn’t close, expect a lot of points on Thursday and for a fun game.  That’s what Mike Leach brings to the table.

Thanks for reading!

Andrew

 

 

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Likes and Dislikes – The Beginning!

I’m going to be trying something new here on the blog.  Once a week or so (you know how good we are with schedules here on the blog), I’m going to put up things I like and I dislike on the blog.  Usually they’ll have to do with the previous week.  Please, add things you like and dislike in the comments.  Try to make them creative and somewhat sports related, but if they aren’t that’s okay as well.  These will usually be light-hearted and hopefully fun.

This could be a good idea that we continue, it could be a bad idea that we don’t continue.  It also might be a bad idea that we continue and in that case, haha.  This weeks will include a few things from the Olympics because I feel like they are still in everyone’s mind.  Anyway, without further ado, your first likes and dislikes!

Likes:

Felix’s Perfecto!

For about a day, Seattle was on top of the baseball world, Felix got the recognition he deserved, and the town caught baseball fever.  It was a blast!  The team, and the fans, have played pretty well since the all-star break and the perfection made everyone notice.  It was a day I’ll never forget and has a glow to it that the Mariners and their fans are still basking in.

19 inning games!

Jeff Sullivan once said something like, “When extra inning games first get into extra innings you want your team to win, then after a while you just want the game to end.  If it gets past that point, you cheer for the game to go on as long as possible.”  The Cardinals and Pirates played 19 innings on Sunday and I wish it had gone another 19 innings.

Handball

Handball joined Curling as my favorite Olympic sport.  America doesn’t have a team, which is a pity, but if you haven’t seen handball go watch a clip on Youtube right now.  I’m starting a team.

Felixing!

This is ‘Felixing’!  Think of it as Tebowing but more awesome.  Everyone’s doing it and you should as well.People who make fun of NBC’s coverage of the Olympics

I mean, why wouldn’t you?  Ryan Seacrest is great and all (not really) but if you’re cutting away in the middle of a basketball game for a commercial (just one example) I think most people should be making fun of you.  Also, I understand that having national pride is part of the Olympics but did anyone else think NBC took it overboard at points?  I heard Bob Costas accuse two countries of cheating and scold athletes for showboating… Unless they were American.

Olympians who cheat at Badminton

That was fantastic.  It’s by far my favorite sports scandal of the year.

Dislikes:

People who get upset about friends posting Olympic news when it actually happens and not waiting until it’s shown in prime-time…

I had friends on Facebook who were begging people to stop posting Olympic results before they actually happened.  Wait, what?  That doesn’t make any sense.  If it meant that much to you, watch it live or stay off of Facebook.  Crazy, I know.  Also, by the time NBC showed the event in their prime time slot you could have watched the event live, watched it again (assuming you recorded it, since it obviously meant a lot to you), drove 20 minutes to dinner, taken an hour to eat a burrito, rented a movie from Redbox, driven home, watched the movie, watched the event on your computer and then watched the event in prime time again.  This is assuming that this event wasn’t 10 P.M. London time, the event wasn’t longer than an hour and a half (most weren’t), and the movie you rented wasn’t John Carter (because that movie is at least 7 hours long).

Jon Heyman…

Injuries to football players on teams that I like to root for…

Not only is it just bad news but it puts all fans into panic mode and then no one’s reasonable.

The Wind

Matthew and I just spent a good share of yesterday evening putting plastic over windows so that we would be ready to paint our parents house tomorrow.  Now, the wind decided to show up and blow some of it off.  You’re just showing up here wind and disrespecting our hard work?  And no, I didn’t forget to put Jon Heyman’s explanation, I just didn’t think he was worthy of an explanation.

The Baltimore Orioles and Chicago White Sox

The Mariners never have good luck against these teams.  Paul Konerko hits over .1000 when he plays Seattle (please, don’t check those stats) and the Orioles hit a walk-off each night they play the Mariners.  Lets hope that changes over the course of the next few weeks as the M’s march toward the wild card.

Again, add yours below.  Thanks for reading,

Andrew

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Fighting the Impossible

Earlier this week as the Huskies started practice, I wrote about the potential comeback of Deontae Cooper.  The immensely talented and likeable UW running back was fighting to make his Husky debut after losing his first two seasons to knee injuries.  Unfortunately, that will be delayed at least another year, as Cooper tore his ACL again on Wednesday.  The only possible positive is that this time it was to his other knee, making a recovery slightly more likely, but that’s hardly anything to celebrate.

Cooper hasn’t said for sure either way, but the expectation is that he will try once again to return for next season.  No one would blame him in the least if he decided to retire, and he still might do so, but that doesn’t seem to be his desire at the moment.

Barring a comeback that would be improbable and miraculous, Cooper will never be a Husky great.  It’s extremely doubtful he ever even sees the field.  His lack of productivity has nothing to do with a lack of effort or desire, though.  He has knees of glass and a will of steel.  With every setback, he works and works to overcome it, always with a smile and positivity belying his terrible luck.  If his body would only oblige him, I have no doubt he would become the Husky legend that he should be.  Injuries are a cruelty of sport that separate winners from losers in a method that has little to do with skill.

***

Before the Olympics started, I read a short article about American sprinter Tyson Gay.  Gay is the fastest American 100 meter sprinter ever and the second fastest in the world with a time of 9.69 seconds.  It’s impossible to tell, but given the way sprint times have dropped so dramatically in the course of the modern Olympics, he might be the second fastest human to ever run the earth.

Unfortunately for Tyson Gay, he has shared the track with Usain Bolt, and that means that Gay has no world records and no Olympic gold medals.  Due to an injury in the 2008 Olympic trials, when he was at his best, he has no medals at all.  It is likely impossible for Tyson Gay to beat Usain Bolt when they are both running at their best, and yet he keeps training, keeps running, keeps chasing the one man in the history of the world who is faster than he is.

***

In most sports, performance keeps getting better and better over time.  Debates can carry infinitely on whether baseball or football players are better now than they were in the ‘30s, ‘50s, ‘70s, but records keep falling and overall athleticism keeps increasing.  In individual and time-based sports, average and record times sink lower and lower, jumps reach further, swimmers swim faster and gymnasts tumble in ever more difficult routines.

The high jump is one of the few sports where people aren’t getting better.  I’m far from an expert on the high jump, but from what I understand, records just aren’t falling like they used to or like they do in other events.  Perhaps the average high jumper is growing closer to elite, I’m not sure, but there’s not the unceasing push to new highs present everywhere else in the sporting world.  It seems the human body has reached the limits of its ability to jump.  People simply can’t jump any higher than they are now.  Eventually, there may be a breakthrough, perhaps in technique or genetics or training, that will push records higher.  For now, high jumpers continue to strain at a ceiling that all the desire in the world will not help them break through.

***

Three years ago, my wife and I moved into a new house at the same time as our new neighbor.  I didn’t get to know him well, but he was the kind of guy you wanted to know: young, fun-loving, big-hearted.  There was a steady stream of friends and family visiting every day, and he always had a smile and friendly greeting.  In the course of that year, he became a homeowner, husband and father.  And then, one night, he went to the emergency room for some stomach pain and came home with a diagnosis of colon cancer.

Over the next couple of years, he underwent every kind of treatment the doctors could find.  He continued to work full time.  He took care of his young son and wife.  There was no change in his love of life, even as his weight and energy dropped continuously and dramatically.  He would have fought the cancer forever if given the opportunity, but a couple of months ago, the fight was taken out of his hands.  He passed away, just days after his 26th birthday.

***

Every day, people run and fight against odds that seem, and in some cases, are, impossible.  That doesn’t stop them from running and fighting.

We understand winning as finishing first.  That’s fine, especially when we’re cheering at a sporting event.  Someone wins and someone loses.  That’s the nature of competition.  Its thrill pushes us higher, makes us strain for something greater, teaches us where we stand and how far we have to go.

Winning isn’t always that simple, though, especially off the field.  Sometimes the body is just not up to the task, no matter how hard we fight.  Everyone wants to win, but finishing first isn’t always the true definition of winning.  Often, winning is simply having the courage to stay in the fight, no matter the odds.

-Matthew

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Flipping For The Gold

We’ve got a special surprise for you loyal readers!  As most of you know, the Good Guys generally stick to talking about the Mariners and Huskies.  Joe’s yearly NBA posts come up but otherwise we stick to what we know.  So, because the Olympics are the talk of the world we called in our gymnastics expert to give you the low-down on what to expect from team USA.  Our expert happens to be Matthew and my sister, Rachel Long.  She knows more about gymnastics than anyone I know and is just a big of fan of the sport than we are of the Huskies and M’s.  If you want a quick preview, this is the place to be.  Ladies and gentlemen, I give you Rachel Long.

I grew up in a sports family. Being the sister of Matthew and Andrew, I’ve spent more than my fair share of time at baseball fields, in the stands of bleachers, and yelling at the huskies from my couch believing that what I say will actually affect their performance.  And, I’ve loved every minute of all of it. Nothing is better than a fall Saturday at Husky Stadium with my family.

Well…. almost nothing, because as much as I love every other sport, my obsession with gymnastics out rules them all.  I have loved gymnastics for as long as I can remember. So much so that now it is my career. I spend the vast majority of my time coaching a gymnastics team. It is my job, my passion, and, most people would say, my life.

Most people go through years of their life not thinking a single thought about gymnastics. I can’t get my mind off of it. I over think it, analyze it, and drive friends crazy because I never shut up about it. My life is spent telling girls how to get better, how they can go higher, twist faster, and improve their scores. I analyze gymnastics videos trying to learn from the technique of the best gymnasts in the world.  So when I watch gymnastics, I pick it apart. I look for every error, comment on every deduction, and yell at gymnasts and coaches just as you do at the Mariners. Sometimes, because of my knowledge level and “expertise” I find myself wondering if I have lost a little of the joy and amazement that I has as a young girls watching the Magnificent Seven win gold at the 96 Olympics.

But, then the Olympics come around again.  Every four years, the world turns their eyes to gymnastics. A sport that is often forgotten is suddenly thrust into the spotlight and the world marvels at these seemingly impossible moves that these young girls make look easy. As I watch the games with my family and friends, their comments, questions and astonishment bring me back to why I love gym in the first place. No other sport is like it. It is exciting, terrifying, and beautiful all in one. The skill level, power and strength that these teenage girls have astounds you. The focus and heart that they compete with leaves you sitting on the edge of the couch wondering if in a single second all their dreams will fall apart.

I am okay with the fact that most people could care less about gymnastics. But, as you sit at home watching these Olympics, try to feel a little of the magic of gymnastics. Let yourself be pulled in. Root for these girls who have spent their whole lives working for this one moment. And then when the games end, you can go back to pretending like you don’t care.

So, from a gymnastics junkie to a four-year fan, here is your guide to the US Olympic Gymnastics team ….

Many would say that this is the best gymnastics team the US has ever had. Five girls, none over the age of 18, make up the squad who goes into the games as the favorite to win gold. Here are the girls

Jordyn Weiber
Jordyn is the reigning world champion and a favorite to win All Around gold in London.  She is known for her power and athleticism and excels at floor and vault. Jordyn has won every major meet she has entered this year until three weeks ago when she lost for the first time at Olympic Trials to up and comer Gabby Douglas. Some would say that Gabby is peaking at the right time to give Jordyn a run for gold. In my opinion, sometimes people get tired of the old favorites. Weiber has been so good for so long that it can almost be a little boring. Though only 17 years old, Jordyn has been around and won every major meet in the World.  Many gymnastics fans have fallen in love with Gabby because she is young, new and different. However, in my opinion Jordyn is the one to watch. She has all the skills, focus, and mind-set to win it all. Jordyn is one of the toughest competitors I have ever seen in gymnastics. If she has a weakness, it is on bars. Though she can score well, she does not have the high-flying skills of Douglas or beautiful lines of Kyla Ross. Watch for Jordyn to consistently hit her routines with very few visible errors and with mental toughness beyond anyone. Maybe she doesn’t have the personality of Gabby Douglas but Jordyn does some pretty great gymnastics.

Gabby Douglas
As I mentioned above, Gabby is the talk of gymnastics right now. After moving two years ago to be coached by Olympic champion Shawn Johnson’s coach, Gabby has been on the rise. She has continued to improve and astound the world, climaxing in her win at the Olympic Trials. Wait till you see her bar routine. This girl flies. I had the chance to watch her compete in person twice this year and her bars is unbelievable. I find myself holding my breath through it as she barely grabs onto the bar after each release move that seem to go ten feet into the air. She has been dubbed “the flying squirrel” by Olympic team coordinator Marta Karolyi because of the way she swings bars. Gabby can also be amazing on every other event especially floor. However the  operative word is “can.” For as amazing as Gabby can be, she can also be disastrous. She has been at times labeled as a head case and is very inconsistent, especially on beam. This is the main reason I have a hard time loving Gabby. As great as she can be, I am scared to see her put up on beam in team finals. I have nightmares of the United States losing out on gold because of a fall from Douglas on beam. Though I hope not, I expect Gabby to have a fall or major error at some point in time during the Olympic games. I just hope it doesn’t cost team USA or Gabby herself a medal.

Ally Raisman
Ally fought her way onto this team by pure work, determination and guts. Ally doesn’t have some of the beauty of the other girls and doesn’t always have the same skill set. However what she does have is much-needed on this young inexperienced team- consistency. Ally can be counted on to go up and hit her routines with no major errors. She has proven this at meet after meet and is on this team to be the rock that the US needs. Ally, at the oh so old age of 18, is the team captain and the calming influence on the some of the very young girls. Ally has a big weakness on bars and that should keep her out of competing for the all around. But, on every other event she can put up some huge number that the US needs. Her vault is messy and I predict it will not score well at the Olympics. But her floor and beam are astounding and I hope to see her make it into finals on both these events. Her first tumbling pass on floor (round off 1 ½  twist step out to double Arabian immediate punch front layout, for anyone who cares!)  leaves you wondering how in the world any human can do that. I root for Ally because you can see that she has worked so hard for everything she has. I would love to see her have her own moment at the Olympics.

Kyla Ross
Besides Weiber, Kyla has been my favorite gymnast to watch all year. She is the youngest on the team at 15 years old and many wonder if her inexperience will hurt her. I’m betting it won’t. Kyla has all the makings of a world class gymnast- clean lines, big skills, and focus that never seems to waver. She showed all through this season that she could be counted on to hit her routines over and over with great execution. I believe that the international judges will love Kyla’s look and gymnastics. Kyla is mainly on this team because she can be counted on to put up a huge bar score, which is the event team USA is weakest on. Kyla’s bars is beautiful. At some meets this year, her scores have even topped Douglas. Kyla can also shine on beam with a difficult set that she performs with perfect form. On floor and vault, Kyla can be counted on for clean performances with solid scores but will not bring in the numbers of some of the other girls. Kyla may not be the main star of these games but she will help the US to be close to that Gold medal and I expect to see Kyla around for a few more years after the  olympics.

Mckayla Maroney
Maroney is on this team for one reason- Vault.  I have not read or heard anyone disagree that this 16-year-old girl from Long Beach, California is without question the best vaulter in the world. Her score on vault will give the United States a huge score advantage over any other country. I’ll try to summarize her vault in a way that a non-gymnastics person can understand. She sprints down the runway as fast as possible, does a round off so she hits the spring-board facing backwards, as she flies head first at top speed into a non moving extremely hard object she turns upside down and bounces off her hands on the vault table, and finally from here she flips off her hands and, while rotating with her body completely straight, completes two and a half twist before landing on her feet. And she does it in a way that makes it look easy. Other athletes can do this vault, including Weiber and Douglas. Nobody can do this vault the way Mckayla Maroney can.  Not only does this help the US during team finals, it almost guarantees the US another medal.  Maroney will make it to vault finals and she will win. (I’m knocking on wood as I write this because I don’t want to jinx her…. But really she’s that good!) We might not see Maroney compete any other events though I would love to see her floor routine. But like I said, Mckayla was put on this team to vault and she will do that well.

These five girls come in as the favored team. The US are the defending world champions and all of these girls except Kyla were on that winning team. They are very, very good. However, this can mean nothing in gymnastics. In the team finals, one fall can cost you a medal and many countries are biting the heels of the US team. Expect the fight to be between the historically top four countries in gymnastics- Russia, Romania, China, and The USA.

– Rachel Long

(Ed. note) I believe gymnastics starts tomorrow (Sunday) during prime time, if you are interested in watching.  

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The Mariners of the Future: Third Base

I’ll dispense with the lengthy preamble for this one.  Like every other position for the Mariners, third base has good options, questions, and lots of guys with something to prove.  Not sure when I’ll get to the outfielders or how I’m going to tackle that many guys, so you might have to wait a bit for that.  Plus, I’m heading on a long vacation in a couple of days.  Sorry.  Maybe the Mariners will make a trade and clear things up for me in the meantime.

The Rundown

Think of Kyle Seager‘s pro career up to this point as a reverse on the football field.  Unexpected, exciting.  Everyone’s paying attention now, where a few seconds ago the game was a bit on the boring side.  He’s just turned past the line of scrimmage, so that danger of being caught in the backfield for a big loss is avoided, but now he has to make that defensive end who held his gap miss, or else it was just a pretty three yard run.  Seager was a bit unexpected as a third round pick in 2009.  He was the second baseman on Ackley’s UNC team, and most thought that Ackley would move to the outfield in the pros and Seager would stay at second.  Instead, Ackley moved to second, and eventually, Seager to third.

Seager’s hit more than anyone expected.  Early on, he was termed Ackley-lite, but that doesn’t seem so accurate now.  He has surprising power without quite having the eye that Ackley was supposed to have.  He started 2012 on a tear, and despite tapering off some, he’s still been one of probably the three best position players for the Mariners this year.  Right now, he’s an average or slightly wose hitter and a good defender who should only improve.  The player he is now is valuable.  The Mariners could do and have done much worse at third base (see below).  The question now is whether Seager can make that defensive end miss and go for a big gain.  To be a star, he needs to make adjustments and become a constant power threat.  He’s not likely to ever be a huge power hitter, but home runs in the 20s with 40 doubles and a .340 OBP is realistic and would make him one of the best third basemen in the league. Continue reading

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The Most Important Reason to NOT Trade Felix Hernandez

A decent argument can, and has been made (almost weekly) for trading Felix Hernandez. I think we’ve all heard the basic elements of the discussion, but let’s review.

Trade Felix:
Felix is the most valuable chip the M’s have, and the likelihood of competing for a World Series before his contract expires after 2014 looks bleak (thanks to Tex and LAA). The national assumption is Felix will land in a big market the next time he hits free agency, because one can only handle so much rain, lack of offense, and of course, losing. And oh by the way, the Mariners offense is not so hot if you’ve tuned in this past decade, and there aren’t many top tier bats in the pipeline to change this. Speaking of top tier prospects, the M’s do have them, but they are pitchers. This side says trade your best asset to acquire offense (Pineda for Montero part 2), rather than stay this depressing course.

Do Not Trade Felix:
The argument I hear for not trading Felix mainly comes, naturally, from Mariner fans. This side says to be successful, you need an ace, which Felix is, and trading him for 1-2 MLB ready players plus a handful of prospects is not equal value. Furthermore, re-signing Felix may not be impossible based on his steadfast comments about the city and organization, and his desire to be a Mariner. Check out his comments from just two days ago:

“I’ve got two more years to go on my contract,” said Hernandez. “It’s not my decision. But I would love to stay. I love Seattle. I love the organization, and the city. I would be disappointed [to be traded],” Hernandez added. “I don’t think they will do that. I love them. And I think they like me, too.”

Lastly, what’s the rush to trade him now? Whether Seattle can contend before 2015 remains to be seen, but if two years from now the team is still struggling, and a trade must be made, Felix will still demand a nice package in return.

If you just consider the main points of each side, from 30,000 feet trading Felix looks logical, and inevitable. The trade Felix side has a compelling case. But let’s land this plane in Seattle, and dissect the lesser discussed, but most important reason the M’s should not trade Felix Hernandez: The Mariners needs an ace, yes, but more importantly, they need a face.

As a long suffering Seattle sports fan, I (and the other Good Guys) have insight and a pulse of the sports community that national writers and transplant Seattleites just don’t have. This town has seen too much losing, both in the record column, and in seeing it’s homegrown stars depart at the peak of their career. This list is long, headlined by the likes of Ken Griffey Jr., Alex Rodriguez, Randy Johnson, Gary Payton, Shawn Kemp, Kevin Durant, Rashard Lewis, Joey Galloway, and Steve Hutchinson. These are the superstars that began their pro career in Seattle, then for various reasons left in their prime, leaving fans wondering what if? The other list is short, most notably Edgar Martinez, Ichiro, Shaun Alexander, Walter Jones, and old timers Steve Largent and Fred Brown. Adding Felix to this list would mean so much more than a couple prospects that may or may not become MLB players.

Losing Felix via trade or free agency would not only hurt on the baseball diamond, but the morale blow and symbolic loss would be felt for years. To this day I wonder what Kemp and Payton could have been had they stayed in Seattle another 5 years. Or those mid-90’s Mariners that had the best core in baseball, could Jr., A-Rod and Randy have brought Seattle a World Series? I tend to think yes. The Mariners especially can ill afford to lose a superstar, given its history of doing so, and also its current public relations state. Felix has made clear time and time again his desire to be a Mariner, and he backed his words by signing a 5 year extension. The Mariners owe the fans to put up a fight to keep Felix in Seattle past 2014, rather than trading him. He is too unique, too special, too important to this city, both in the short and long term. He is the king, our ace, our face.

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