Tag Archives: USC

UW vs. USC Predictions

Hello, Dawg fans.

In 2006, the UW Huskies started 4-1 with their only loss to Oklahoma.  It seemed a return to a bowl game was imminent.  Then they lost a few tough ones, Isaiah Stanback got hurt, and they didn’t win another game until the Apple Cup.  They finished 5-7, missing a bowl game.  Two years later they were 0-12.

This year, they Huskies started 5-1.  Three weeks later, they’re 6-3 and facing a tough USC squad in L.A.  It’s easy to think this season is sliding away, especially in light of the beatdowns from conference powers Oregon and Stanford.

Entering the season, however, most people were expecting a 7-5 or 8-4 season.  A few people were hoping for 9 or 10 wins, but even they admitted they were being very optimistic.  Even with the disappointing losses, the Dawgs are right on target.  They’re not anywhere near being elite yet, but they’re a solid, young team, just like we thought.  They should finish with 8 wins, with 7 or 9 being realistic possibilities.

Even if they don’t win another game, they’ve secured a bowl game.  I don’t want to be at the point where Husky fans are just hoping for a bowl game, but it’s a start, and it’s where the team is right now.  They’re making progress, and while we want it to happen quicker, it helps to take a step back and remember what could be happening instead.


Nothing about this game feels right.  USC is taking this game personally.  The Nick Holt comment, which was harmless and not a slam on USC if you read the context of the question, is plastered all over the USC football facilities.  Coach Sark complimenting Matt Barkley saying he’s better than Luck is being taken personally somehow.  Lane Kiffin today on Softy was clearly annoyed with the fact USC has lost two in a row to the Dawgs (Hey Lane, cheer up, you got a few extra timeouts from last year you might be able to use Saturday…).  The Trojans want revenge, and I think they’ll get it.  USC is playing at a very high level right now offensively, and that concerns me for obvious reasons. Robert Woods and his WR running mates will simply torch the UW secondary, and if the UW pass rush continues to be M.I.A., Barkley will have all day to throw.  This could get ugly quick.  I do think the Huskies will bounce back on the offensive side, but it’ll be too little because of the inevitable drops by the receivers will kill some drives. I expect Polk to have a tremendous game back on his home turf of So Cal.  In the end though, the Trojans roll.

USC 49 – UW 31


I think the Dawgs are capable of pulling this one out, but they are moving in the complete wrong direction.  If this were the fourth game of the year, I would have picked the Huskies.  Since then, the Huskies are floundering a bit while USC is playing great football.  If the Dawgs play anything like they did against Oregon, they don’t have much of a shot.  Still, it feels like this team could click at any minute, so maybe this will be the week.  I’ll believe it when I see it.

USC 45, UW 34


The Huskies have a tough fight up against them on Saturday.  USC has been playing well after starting their season a little lackadaisical and the Huskies will have to play a really good game if they want to avoid losing their 3rd out of their last 4.  Sark and company have had the Trojans number the last 2 years though and I think that means something.  This game means a little more to the coaching staff and they will be prepared (not that they aren’t usually prepared).  USC probably has a little better athletes but I don’t think the gap is that far away, as Bob Condotta pointed out with some stats the other day (http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/huskyfootballblog/2016734593_comparing_uws_and_uscs_confere.html).  I think that points to a close game.  My hopes aren’t too high for this game and I don’t know why.  Maybe it’s because I thought the Huskies would finish 8-4 all along and this game would be the last one they lost.  I know I’ve been preaching that we should start expecting to win but I don’t feel that heading into Saturday.  I’m guessing that it’s about time USC wins a close one against us and so I’ll go with that.

UW 35, USC 38

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This One is on Me

I was at the game last night, and there is plenty of blame to go around for the debacle that occurred. Despite a nice comeback, UW fell short, and the reality of needing to win the Pac-10 tournament to make March Madness is officially here. USC presents so many matchup problems for the small Washington guards, which made our offense look completely out of sync. Mike Gerrity, the Trojan point guard and leader on the floor, really takes control of the offense; he killed us last night. There are numerous reasons why UW lost for just the second time at Hec Ed this year, but really this one is on me, and here’s why.

In the past 3 seasons, Washington is a combined 46-10 at home, with a conference home record of 18-8 over that stretch. I have attended exactly one game each of the past 3 seasons, and each time we have lost. In 07-08, I witnessed a loss to the Lopez twins and Stanford. In 08-09, I sat courtside for the Cal triple-OT loss, and now last night, for just the third conference home loss in 2 seasons, I was there to see it as well. So stop pointing fingers for last night’s loss, because this one is on me. To Washington nation, I am truly sorry.



Filed under Huskies Basketball

UW vs USC – The Battle at HecEd

Time to go old school on USC.

The UW vs USC smackdown at Hec Ed. I have been stewing over this game since Saturday, because, as other writers on this freight train of a blog have stated, tonights game is probably the UW’s toughest match-up. USC has always been a tough for the Dawgs. That’s doesn’t mean they own us, it just means the games always tend to be very physical and a grinder. Watching Jon Brockman and Taj Gibson throw each other around for four years was a treat.

Now for the geeky part. I am very comfortable and open with the fact that I have a very strong geek streak in me. It doesn’t help much with the ladies, but it does help when it comes to breaking down basketball match ups. Therefore, I have to plug the following website:


Stat Sheet.com is literally a cornucopia of stat goodness. The very definition of good, ratio, +/- juju. They have a great page for tonights match up here:


Based on the stat guru, the Huskies are an 8 pt favorite. Considering the UW has blown out most home opponents this year, and couple that with the tougher than normal match up, inside a 10 pt game sounds very realistic. I expect it to be much closer actually. USC thoroughly dismantled UW in their first match up. Pondexter had probably his worst game of the year, 2pts. Overton played well with 18pts, and was seemingly the only Husky player that showed up that day. I expect things to be very different tonight. Look for Overton to play well again, along with Isaiah. I am very concerned with USC’s strength, so I don’t see MBA, or any other player who mucks it up down low having a good night. I think this game could come down to outside shooting, especially Suggs and Turner from three range, and Quincy being able to knock down his 20ft jumpers. If the shots are not falling, the Huskies will need to crash the boards, which they are very good at, 1st in the Pac-10.

As always, the game will come down to desire and hustle. The Dawgs are a top 15 team at home. I like the fact that the UW has a bone to pick with both SC and UCLA this weekend, more motivation to play hard on defense and get physical on the blocks. I am looking for a close, hard fought victory tonight for the Huskies.



Filed under Huskies Basketball