Huskies Win in L.A.

The UW basketball team got a huge win against USC tonight to open Pac-10 play.  Here’s Percy Allen’s wrap-up of the game.

This win is significant for the Huskies to get the road monkey off their back and show that they can win tough, grind-it-out games.  It wasn’t pretty, but the Huskies won against a good Trojan team and against the refs.

Now, on to the Holiday Bowl!

Andrew

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Huskies +/- vs. Nevada

I had meant to put this up for a while, but never got around to it.  For every Husky basketball game that’s on TV from here on out, I will try to put up the +/- for each player.  +/- is an interesting stat for basketball because the sport is so dependent on all 5 players on the court.  I’ll try to add up the stats throughout the season.  Anyway, here are the numbers.  (Venoy Overton was out for this game).

Isaiah Thomas: +37
Abdul Gaddy: +20
Justin Holiday: +31
Aziz N’Diaye: +6
MBA: +35
Darnell Gant: +12
C.J. Wilcox: +12
Scott Suggs: +10
Terrance Ross: +11
Brendan Sherrar:  -6
Antoine Hosley:  -6

This seems about right.  Thomas was easily the best player on the court against Nevada and that shows in this stat.  MBA was the player that benefited most from Thomas and Gaddy passing inside.  He missed so many lay-ins but also was in charge of the post.  I’m not sure why Aziz’s numbers are so low, he played a pretty good game.

I probably won’t be able to do this for tonight’s game, since it’s on the radio, but I will do the UCLA game on Friday.

Andrew

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Dumpster Diving Mariners

This morning I read Geoff Baker’s blog regarding the Mariners 2011 payroll situation. Chuck Armstrong states the M’s will not reduce payroll, and Baker does a nice job listing the projected payroll of the roster this coming year. Here it is:

Ichiro 17,000,000
Milton Bradley 12,000,000
Chone Figgins 9,500,000
Felix Hernandez 10,700,000
Jack Wilson 5,000,000
David Aardsma 4,500,000 est
Franklin Gutierrez 4,312,500
Miguel Olivo 3,500,000
Jack Cust 2,500,000
Brandon League 2,500,000 est
Dustin Ackley 1,500,000
Jason Vargas 1,200,000 est
Erik Bedard 1,000,000
Brendan Ryan 1,000,000 est
Josh Wilson 700,000 est
Michael Saunders 435,000
Shawn Kelley 435,000 est
Doug Fister 435,000 est
Adam Moore 430,000 est
Justin Smoak 430,000 est
Garrett Olson 424,000 est
Matt Tuiasosopo 424,000 est
Dan Cortes 414,000 est
Cesar Jimenez 414,000 est
Josh Lueke 414,000 est
Michael Pineda 414,000 est

Carlos Silva money to Cubs — 4,500,000
Yuniesky Betancourt salary — 1,000,000

Baker points out the M’s only have about $5m left to spend to round out the roster.

I’m not going to pretend I know more about baseball than my cohorts on this blog. They may have a different view than I do, but when I look at the roster above, I am not excited at all. The Ms will be forced to find some bargains to bring in, which isn’t great news. I like some of the young guys, but seeing the salaries for so many overpaid bums really puts things in perspective. This roster is a mess, and it’s going to take a couple years to clean it up.

Let’s hope Jack Z knows how to dumpster dive.

-Joe-

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What to Make of the Outcome

If you hadn’t heard, the Huskies have a football game in a few days.  It feels a little bit weird, huh?  It does to me too.  Usually at this time of year, my attention has turned to recruiting and neglecting the fact that my team isn’t in a bowl game but not this year!  This will be the first Huskies bowl game I’ll be able to watch since I was 12 years old.  That alone is reason to celebrate.

But, what kind of celebration will take place on Thursday night depending on the outcomes.  The Dawgs are heavy underdogs to a team that already beat them by 35 points this year.  Yes, the Huskies played probably their worst game of the year (Stanford aside) but they were clearly outmatched by a physical, fast Nebraska team.  Is it reasonable to expect a win?  I’m not so sure.  But, is it reasonable to expect the Huskies to be competitive?  Yes.

Here are 3 possible outcomes for the Huskies and what they’d mean to the program and fans:

  • A blowout loss: This outcome isn’t out of the question at all.  A loss by 21 points or more would be frustrating but, it wouldn’t be all that surprising.  We already saw it happen once.  With that being said, it would diffuse a lot of the momentum the Huskies have.  Just 2 years ago, the Huskies were 0-12 and the football program was dead.  Now, they’re in a bowl game (and to think that Cougar fans are happy with Paul Wulff winning 2 games).  This amazing resurgence would be put under a blanket if the Huskies were blown out.  It wouldn’t be the end of the world, but people who doubt Sark’s ability to fully turn the program around will come out of the hiding they’ve been under for the last month. Remember, Arizona was blown out in the Holiday Bowl last year.  I remember watching that game and thinking about how Arizona fans must have been feeling at the time.  They must have been disgusted.  But, I bet that disgust didn’t last long.  So, again, this outcome would be upsetting and annoying but, it wouldn’t be the end of the world.
  • A close loss: This is where fans start to disagree.  We can all agree that a blowout loss would be disappointing and a win would be great but, a close loss?  There are a few different view points.  One thing you might hear some fans say is, ” They’ve had a month to prepare, anything short of a win is unacceptable”  Frankly, this is a dumb perspective.  Yes, the Huskies had a month to prepare but so did the Cornhuskers.  I don’t like moral victories but this is one game where I actually believe they exist.  A close loss to Nebraska shows a good deal of improvement.  We could earn the respect of a good opponent and put some fear into them before next year’s match-up.  Most of all, it would show a national audience that a once proud tradition is on it’s way back.   This outcome is the one that reflects where the Huskies are, as a program, most of all.
  • A win: Bob Condotta said in a chat today that if the Huskies won it would be one of the biggest upsets since the Whammy in Miami.  At first, you might think that this sounds a little over the top, but think about it.  A win on Thursday gives the Huskies their first 4 game winning streak since 2001.  That is amazing to think about.  It would give the Huskies their first bowl win since the 2001 Rose Bowl.  It would provide all kinds of momentum heading into next year.  And, I would actually have a new trophy to look at when I went into the Husky hall of fame next year.

Yes, the fact that I have the opportunity to write and look forward to a Husky football game at this point are enough for me.  I understand why they aren’t for some people, but it’s all about perspective in my opinion and the fact that the Dawgs’ are in San Diego right now is pretty amazing when we take a minute to think about it.  But, the game has to be played and that outcome could mean quite a bit heading in to the off-season.

Andrew

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Seahawks v Rams for the NFC West title

Playoffs? Playoffs?? You kidding me? Playoffs???

This Sunday the Seahawks host the Rams for the NFC West division title. 6-9 hosting 7-8. Winner gets a home playoff game against either Green Bay, New Orleans, NY Giants or Tampa Bay. All those teams will have 10 or more wins going into the playoffs. I have a random thoughts on all of this.

I think a rule change should be in order, but not right away. I think making a team be at least .500 to host a playoff game is appropriate (Re-seed). I do not like the idea of preventing a team with a sub .500 team from even making the playoffs. The goal each year is win the division, you should be rewarded for that. But be .500 please. If not, you gotta go on the road.

I think all of this hosting a playoff game negative chatter could be moot. Look, Green Bay and New Orleans will beat either Seattle or St. Louis on the road, at home, on the moon, doesn’t matter. So I think all the huffing and puffing is unwarranted. Just a thought.

Draft position is an issue, and probably the biggest debate point. I go back and forth on this one. The difference between winning and losing is 8 draft slots, 13 to 21. That may seem like a lot, and considering the Hawks need a QB, maybe the fans saying lose to get the higher draft position are right. I tend to disagree. Take a look at this link: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/mock. Both Rang and Reuter have the Hawks taking an OT at 13 (if they miss the playoffs). Even if the Hawks win, look at 21, at RB and OT. I think both of those positions are needed, but OT help is huge. Neither have the Hawks taking a QB. I think fans just assume they’ll take a QB, but will one be there at 13 or 21? Who knows. I think the draft is a craps shoot, I don’t like the idea of losing just for draft position. Win or lose the Hawks have a 1st rounder. They could trade up and get Newton, maybe Mallett, or trade for one in the league already like Kobb or Flynn. Or they could just man up and get good at talent evaluation like the Patriots and find diamonds late in the draft while saving money. Personally I like option three (the Patriots are the best organization in football.). Heard this today: Aaron Curry? 4th overall pick with a huge contract on a bad defense, little to no impact. Legarrette Blount? Undrafted rookie 1,000 yard back. Who would you rather have, considering the value? I’d take Blount in a second, even if he is a Duck. Again, the draft is about talent evaluation, not draft position.

Another angle to all of this is the Rams. They, in my opinion, are the best young team in the division. Why? Sam Bradford. He’ll be an all pro very soon. He has all the tools. Now, if the Rams come into Qwest and win, imagine the confidence boost that franchise gets. They were the worst team in the NFL last season, now a division winner, with two wins over Seattle? As a Hawks fan I don’t like the idea of that franchise getting on a roll.

I just want to win a game. A win would then allow the Hawks to host a playoff game. Isn’t that what we all wanted in August? I fully understand and agree this team is frustrating to follow and all things being equal don’t deserve to make the playoffs. Where is the team that beat Chicago on the road in what was, in my view, the best game the Hawks have played in four years? They are in there somewhere. Odd things have happened at Qwest in the playoffs (Tony Romo anyone?), so I think a win and a playoff game would be exciting and interesting for so many reasons.

Finally, here is the bottom line: If Charlie Whitehurst starts, the Hawks will lose. He is the worst QB in the NFL. He’s terrible. He can’t read defenses, he can’t hit an open receiver, he can’t look off defenders, he’s just bad. In order for Seattle to win, Hass must play, even with a bum hip. No Hass, no chance to win, it’s pretty simple. This is most likely Matt’s last stand, so I’d love to see him go out fighting. He deserves it, no one works harder and cares more about the Seahawks than Matt Hasselbeck. Here’s hoping he’ll get a shot in the playoffs.

Joe

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Who’s Your Gaddy?

The Washington Huskies basketball team is an interesting team to try and figure out (and something we’ll try to figure out more in the coming weeks).  They seem to be a lot like last years team thus far, can’t win on the road and look like they’re a top-10 team at home.  But, I, and I imagine the rest of the good guys, think that this team is better.  One of the reasons for that is Abdul Gaddy.

Last year, Gaddy came to UW as a 17 year old and didn’t live up to expectations.  He was ranked as the number 2 point guard in his recruiting class and was thought to be the player that would take the Huskies to the next level.  He did win a starting job but this was more due to the fact that Overton was more effective coming off the bench than Gaddy being effective as a starter.

Gaddy’s jumper was pretty horrid last year and he seemed to lack quickness.  He did appear to make some progress towards the end of the year, but he was a big question entering the year.

Now, it appears things are different.  Frankly, he looks like a completely different player.  Through 11 games Gaddy has shot 54% from the field and 43% from beyond the arc.  This summer, he was helped out by Ryan Appleby with his shooting, much like Quincy Pondexter last year.  Now, his shot looks almost as natural as anyone’s on the team.

The confidence from his jumper has given the rest of his game life.  He’s put his amazing ball-handling skills on display and finds the open man better than any Husky point guard has since Will Conroy.

In Wednesday’s game against Nevada, Gaddy’s shot wasn’t falling.  He had a few looks from deep where he was pretty open but failed to knock them down.  Last year, that would have been more of the same.  But, this year it was different.  He still had his confidence.  He was still taking the shots and thinking they were going in.  He was still shaking defenders with ease and finding the open man.

My dad always used to tell me that sports were 50% mental, 50% physical.  When you’re talking about the college or professional level this probably is an exaggeration.  But, Gaddy is an example of just how important confidence is.  That confidence makes him fit in with the rest of the team.  And that confidence is the reason why I think these Huskies could make a deep run in March.  Deeper than any Husky team in recent memory.

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8 Days To A Holiday

Some quick Husky notes as the team prepares to fly out to San Diego:

  • Tight End Chris Izbicki has left the team.  He’s leaving of his own accord, for reasons that aren’t fully clear, as far as I’ve seen.  His lack of production surely factors into the decision.  After Middleton’s dismissal before the year, I thought there was a good chance Izbicki could have a small breakout this year, but it clearly was not to be.  He only had two catches on the year, although one was the glorious Price to Izbicki touchdown early in the year.  Good luck to Chris in whatever he’s planning to do now.
  • While Izbicki was listed as a starter for the Holiday Bowl, the loss isn’t a huge one.  Marlion Barnett has been a bit more of a pass-catching threat, and Daniel Kanzcugowski has played more than either as an extra blocker.  The position should improve greatly in the next couple of years.  Michael Hartvigson would likely have been playing extensive minutes by now if he hadn’t been injured earlier in the season.  Austin Seferian-Jenkins is also likely to have some kind of impact immediately.  From what I’ve heard, he spent much of his high school career split out wide, so he likely has good pass-catching skills.  Given his size (6′ 6″, 260 lbs), if he starts the year in good condition, he could make an immediate difference.
  • The team leaves for San Diego tomorrow, if I remember correctly.  They’ll spend the next week practicing and seeing the sights.  It’s a pretty cool deal for the players, even if they miss Christmas with the family.  I wonder if any of them get upset about that.  A good portion of the team is from southern California though, so it’s good for them, and everyone got a few days to go home in the last week.
  • Recruiting is starting to ramp up as the February Letter of Intent Day is coming.  The most recent commit for the Dawgs is MLB Thomas Tutogi.  He’s a big dude coming from a junior college and will have 4 years to play 3.  Usually with juco guys, they’re there for a reason (grades, character issues), but Tutogi was just not highly recruited out of high school and wanted to try to raise his stock.  He certainly did that, garnering an offer USC as well, among others.  Tutogi has a decent chance to step right into a starting role in the Huskies’ depleted linebacking group.
  • We’ll have more extensive posts on recruiting in the next month, but the big one to keep an eye on for now is DL Danny Shelton, a local kid.  He’s deciding between UW and Oregon, and is the top remaining recruit in the state.  Chat board opinion is that Shelton prefers Oregon while his mom prefers UW, but who knows what the case really is.  It sounds like he’ll announce a decision fairly soon.  Given the fact that UW has three DTs for the bowl game, some playmakers at the spot are crucial in this class.

All for now. 

-Matthew

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Small Sample Sizes

Player A (over 2 years):

330 Plate Appearances
.176 Batting Average
.218 OBP
.333 Slugging Percentage
.552 OPS
7.43 K/BB ratio
11 HR

Player B:

242 Plate Appearances
.197 Batting Average
.232 OBP
.294 Slugging Percentage
.526 OPS
8.75 K/BB
5 HR

Player A and Player B are very close to the same.  Yes, Player B hit for a higher average but I would argue that Player A is a better offensive player since his OPS is a little higher and he doesn’t strike out quite as much.

Player A is Miguel Olivo and Player B is Adam Moore.  While in Seattle, Miguel Olivo was probably the worst hitter in baseball.  But, the stats show that Adam Moore was just as bad.  Olivo has gotten much better since then.  Seattle was by far his worst stop in the big leagues.  It’s yet to be proven if Adam Moore will develop into anything.

The truth is that all of Seattle has a terrible perception of Miguel Olivo because of a small sample size that is similar to what Moore did last year.  I’m not saying that all of the people who are upset about this move are wrong, but I don’t think this move is worth freaking out about.

I know most of us would like to see if Moore could develop into the top prospect he was.  But, the truth is the Mariners upgraded their catcher position by quite a bit today.  If Olivo is anywhere close to his career norms he will be twice as good as any catcher the Mariners had last year.

People are forgetting about how terrible Mariners’ catchers were last season.  People also forget that, to people in the front office, next year is not a throwaway season.  If the Mariners don’t show drastic improvement Jack Z will be fired sooner rather than later.  The way they have to do this is with small contracts, like the ones they just gave Olivo and Cust.  Yes, you can find a lot of things wrong with signing Miguel Olivo and that is proven by the M’s blogosphere going absolutely crazy (aside from Jeff Sullivan, thanks for your rationale thinking), but the Mariners improved today.

By the way, in the last 2 days, the Mariners signed 2 players that hit a combined 26 home runs last year.  That’s 25% of what the Mariners hit last year.  In 2009, they combined for 48 home runs.  That’s 47.5% of what the Mariners hit last year.  Enough said.

Andrew

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